Comments on: Welcome to Psephoblog http://psephoblog.wordpress.com/2007/10/21/hello-world/ A blog for discussing Australian elections Wed, 12 Nov 2008 08:10:17 +0000 http://wordpress.com/ hourly 1 By: health care issues in america http://psephoblog.wordpress.com/2007/10/21/hello-world/#comment-310 health care issues in america Mon, 24 Dec 2007 19:45:21 +0000 #comment-310 <strong>health care issues in america</strong> health care issues in america health care issues in america

health care issues in america

]]> By: psephoblog http://psephoblog.wordpress.com/2007/10/21/hello-world/#comment-195 psephoblog Sun, 25 Nov 2007 12:34:58 +0000 #comment-195 I haven't looked at this thread for a while, sorry to have ignored recent posts. Paul and Ray, I imagine you are feeling a right pair of geese today. Both Family First and the Democrats vanished without trace last night. This was the Dems' last federal election. FF will linger on, as Fred Nile's sect does, as a matter of faith rather than rational politics, but they'll never amount to anything and Fielding will lose his seat in 2010. I haven’t looked at this thread for a while, sorry to have ignored recent posts. Paul and Ray, I imagine you are feeling a right pair of geese today. Both Family First and the Democrats vanished without trace last night. This was the Dems’ last federal election. FF will linger on, as Fred Nile’s sect does, as a matter of faith rather than rational politics, but they’ll never amount to anything and Fielding will lose his seat in 2010.

]]> By: shozmaster http://psephoblog.wordpress.com/2007/10/21/hello-world/#comment-188 shozmaster Sat, 24 Nov 2007 21:03:26 +0000 #comment-188 This is a masterly socio-political and psephological analysis. It lucidly covers a number of factors, some of which are not usually dealt with by analysts of polls and traditional psephologists. This is a masterly socio-political and psephological analysis. It lucidly covers a number of factors, some of which are not usually dealt with by analysts of polls and traditional psephologists.

]]> By: memorylana http://psephoblog.wordpress.com/2007/10/21/hello-world/#comment-181 memorylana Sat, 24 Nov 2007 01:01:24 +0000 #comment-181 Re the Labor CVs-I'm pretty sure that Peter Garrett has done a bit more than listed- didnt he head up the Australian Conservation Foundation for a while? And of course, he campaigned heavily against the Australia Card. And then there was the Nuclear Disarmament Party. I think this is relevant because most listed indicate long career in party/ union which some criticise Labor for. Garrett does have a more colourful and interesting past. Re the Labor CVs-I’m pretty sure that Peter Garrett has done a bit more than listed- didnt he head up the Australian Conservation Foundation for a while? And of course, he campaigned heavily against the Australia Card. And then there was the Nuclear Disarmament Party. I think this is relevant because most listed indicate long career in party/ union which some criticise Labor for. Garrett does have a more colourful and interesting past.

]]> By: Ray http://psephoblog.wordpress.com/2007/10/21/hello-world/#comment-174 Ray Thu, 22 Nov 2007 12:06:04 +0000 #comment-174 Nowhere in this analysis or commentary does anyone discuss the prospects of a Family First candidate being elected. They have an excellent chance in Qld. All they have to do is exceed Hanson's vote and they are home. There vote will be much higher there in this election as they are running candidates in all electorates. In fact if Qld had a bi-carmal State parliament they would already have a parliamentarian. In SA if Xenphon has opened things up for another minor. I rate it a 50-50 chance of splitting 2-2-1-1 and the probability within that scenario is that the sixth seat will go to FFP. FFP outpolled the Greens and Demacrats in the State election, and had the last candidate standing in 2004. Both Jeff Buchanan and Tony Bates are excellent candidates. Nowhere in this analysis or commentary does anyone discuss the prospects of a Family First candidate being elected. They have an excellent chance in Qld. All they have to do is exceed Hanson’s vote and they are home. There vote will be much higher there in this election as they are running candidates in all electorates. In fact if Qld had a bi-carmal State parliament they would already have a parliamentarian.

In SA if Xenphon has opened things up for another minor. I rate it a 50-50 chance of splitting 2-2-1-1 and the probability within that scenario is that the sixth seat will go to FFP. FFP outpolled the Greens and Demacrats in the State election, and had the last candidate standing in 2004.

Both Jeff Buchanan and Tony Bates are excellent candidates.

]]> By: Margaret http://psephoblog.wordpress.com/2007/10/21/hello-world/#comment-173 Margaret Thu, 22 Nov 2007 05:30:46 +0000 #comment-173 Adam, Joe Hockey has the reputation for being affable (and small 'l' liberal) but his performance on Work Choices legislation and in particular the recent monstering/slandering of Sydney university academics on research into Work Choices suggest there is another side to him. The bully boy tactics of various frontbenchers that has emerged increasingly over the past 12 months could not be attractive to the electorate that you describe in North Sydney. However, it is hard to see how the electorate's economic interests will not prevail and the views that Libs are better at managing the economy (for whom is the question of course) have too much traction for a Mike Bailey election. I must say I am still in the hopeful ranks with respect to an ALP victory. There have been to many polls to not suggest the Rudd ALP team have a real chance but there are too many unknowns such as just how appealing is Rudd to the 'aspirational' voter? We will find out soon and I hope your predictions come true. Adam,

Joe Hockey has the reputation for being affable (and small ‘l’ liberal) but his performance on Work Choices legislation and in particular the recent monstering/slandering of Sydney university academics on research into Work Choices suggest there is another side to him.

The bully boy tactics of various frontbenchers that has emerged increasingly over the past 12 months could not be attractive to the electorate that you describe in North Sydney. However, it is hard to see how the electorate’s economic interests will not prevail and the views that Libs are better at managing the economy (for whom is the question of course) have too much traction for a Mike Bailey election.

I must say I am still in the hopeful ranks with respect to an ALP victory. There have been to many polls to not suggest the Rudd ALP team have a real chance but there are too many unknowns such as just how appealing is Rudd to the ‘aspirational’ voter? We will find out soon and I hope your predictions come true.

]]> By: Paul Kavanagh http://psephoblog.wordpress.com/2007/10/21/hello-world/#comment-171 Paul Kavanagh Wed, 21 Nov 2007 13:28:46 +0000 #comment-171 Former Democrats voters who supported the Liberals in 2004 (few went ALP or Green) are returning to the Democrats. I'm convinced of this based on the past two weeks spent at the Higgins Early Voting Centre. The extensive and overwhelmingly positive media for the Democrats this time continued this evening with the stunning twenty-minute SBS program on the colouful campaign launch. This program went to air shortly after Kerry O'Brien spoke with Kevin Rudd on the 7.30 Report about the GST's central role in Australia's economic success. Recent developments, including the regional funding review and tonight's Lateline story about the Liberals speading hate and lies against Muslims for their own political gain should further boost the Democrats vote. All the while the Democrats' adveerting has been a highlight of this dreary and uninspiring election. Former Democrats voters who supported the Liberals in 2004 (few went ALP or Green) are returning to the Democrats. I’m convinced of this based on the past two weeks spent at the Higgins Early Voting Centre.

The extensive and overwhelmingly positive media for the Democrats this time continued this evening with the stunning twenty-minute SBS program on the colouful campaign launch. This program went to air shortly after Kerry O’Brien spoke with Kevin Rudd on the 7.30 Report about the GST’s central role in Australia’s economic success.

Recent developments, including the regional funding review and tonight’s Lateline story about the Liberals speading hate and lies against Muslims for their own political gain should further boost the Democrats vote.

All the while the Democrats’ adveerting has been a highlight of this dreary and uninspiring election.

]]> By: jasmine_Anadyr http://psephoblog.wordpress.com/2007/10/21/hello-world/#comment-125 jasmine_Anadyr Sat, 17 Nov 2007 04:49:39 +0000 #comment-125 impressive Adam, and gutsy ... fingers crossed you are 20 or so seats short on the night ... but good luck to us ... hope it doesn't rain. impressive Adam, and gutsy … fingers crossed you are 20 or so seats short on the night … but good luck to us … hope it doesn’t rain.

]]> By: jeff kelland http://psephoblog.wordpress.com/2007/10/21/hello-world/#comment-124 jeff kelland Sat, 17 Nov 2007 03:26:29 +0000 #comment-124 your comment that the labor candidate in solomon in 2001 was 'weak' is not fair. she was preselected after the previous candidate jumped ship to be cos in the newly elected nt labor govt. given that she had less than 10 weeks to establsh herself a loss by 86 votes in a new seat shows no weakness in ms hull methinks. your comment that the labor candidate in solomon in 2001 was ‘weak’ is not fair. she was preselected after the previous candidate jumped ship to be cos in the newly elected nt labor govt. given that she had less than 10 weeks to establsh herself a loss by 86 votes in a new seat shows no weakness in ms hull methinks.

]]> By: psephoblog http://psephoblog.wordpress.com/2007/10/21/hello-world/#comment-123 psephoblog Fri, 16 Nov 2007 23:28:32 +0000 #comment-123 I expect all the minor parties to lose votes as the Rudd tsunami sweeps the political landscape. I expect all the minor parties to lose votes as the Rudd tsunami sweeps the political landscape.

]]>